The outlook for cell phones is m tumultuous for the mobile industry, reports
In-Stat http://www.in-stat.com.
They predict that both handset sales and subscriptions will take a hit, but In-Stat
expects that subscriptions will weather the financial crisis better
than handset shipments.
"People that are unemployed are less likely
to replace their cellphones, and businesses will not pay for cellphone
subscriptions for employees they've let go," says Allen Nogee, In-Stat
analyst. "Even those with existing subscriptions are more willing to
'make do' with their existing handsets. As the wireless industry
matures, replacement handsets make up three-quarters of handset sales;
handset sales are now particularly vulnerable to economic contraction."
Recent research by In-Stat found the following:
-
After experiencing a 19.3% growth in subscriptions in 2008,
subscription growth will fall by more than half to 8.9% in 2009 and by
6.3% in 2010. - Worldwide, In-Stat is forecasting a 20.5% drop in handset shipments for 2009 compared to 2008.
- It will take until 2011 for shipments to regain robust growth, a forecasted 9.6% increase.
- Middle East and Africa will have 75.2 million WCDMA/HSPA/HSPA+ subscriptions by 2013.
- SC-SCDMA subscriptions in Asia Pacific will rise more than ten-fold between 2009 and 2013.
Recent In-Stat research, Worldwide Cellular Subscription and Handset 5-Year Forecast (#IN0904564GW), covers the worldwide market for cellular phones and subscriptions. It includes:
- Forecasts of worldwide cellular handset subscriptions and handset shipments, including a forecast through 2013.
- Forecasts of handsets and subscriptions by region and technology.
For more information on this research or to purchase it online, please visit:
http://www.instat.com/catalog/wcatalogue.asp?id=29 or contact a sales representative:
http://www.instat.com/sales.asp