ChangeWave Research surveys show that the U.S. cellular service provider market remains a two-horse race
between AT&T and Verizon - with the former leading in
terms of future demand and the latter in terms of customer satisfaction
and fewest dropped calls.
The March ChangeWave survey of 4,292 consumers also show a small group that might switch, AT&T has great future demand and Verizon has a fewest dropped calls.
When
asked how likely they were to change service providers in the next 6
months, 13% of consumers said they were very or somewhat likely to
switch.
Among that group, only 9% of current AT&T
customers said they're likely to switch compared to 11% of Verizon
customers - giving AT&T a slight edge in customer loyalty. But
where do those consumers who are switching say they're headed?
A
full third (33%) say they'll go with AT&T - a huge 6-pt jump from
December to the highest level since we began asking this question back
in 2005. Verizon (24%; up 2-pts), while still competitive, continues to
lag behind.
Note that dating back to the period just before the original Apple
(AAPL) iPhone rollout, AT&T has managed to stay in first place in
terms of future demand
A coincidence? Not likely.
But
the big question going forward is how long can AT&T keep its
exclusivity agreement with Apple and ride the iPhone's coattails? While
the current deal is set to expire next year, AT&T is in talks with
Apple to extend it until 2011.
Rumors are that Apple is
also in talks with Verizon about launching an iPhone-type line that
will run on the Verizon network. If the rumors prove true, AT&T has
plenty to worry about.A second related area that Verizon maintains an edge is in the
frequency its customer's experience "dropped calls." Once again,
Verizon is the clear winner, with its customers reporting an average of
just 1.8% of their calls dropped during the past 90 days - well ahead
of all of its competitors including AT&T.
For a multitude of reasons, the survey results show AT&T would be
best served if it can remain the exclusive iPhone distributor for North
America, but Verizon may have other ideas.
However, there's one clear winner here no matter which way the Apple falls from the tree - it's the Apple.