Weaker World Mobile Phone Sales but Smartphone 27% Higher in Q2, Says Gartner

Worldwide
mobile phone sales totalled 286.1 million units in the second quarter
of 2009, a 6.1 per cent decrease from the second quarter of 2008,
according to Gartner, Inc. Smartphone sales surpassed 40 million units,
a 27 per cent increase from the same period last year, representing the
fastest-growing segment of the mobile-devices market. The iPhone market share grew a staggering 375%.

gartner2qmarketsharte.jpg

"Despite the challenging market,
some devices sold well as consumers who would usually have purchased
standard midrange devices either cut back to less expensive handsets or
moved up the range to get more features for their money," said Carolina
Milanesi, research director at Gartner. "Touchscreen and QWERTY devices
remained a major driver for replacement sales and benefited
manufacturers with strong, touch-focused midtier devices. However, the
decline in average selling price (ASP) accelerated in the first half of
the year and particularly affected manufacturers that focus on midtier
and low-end devices, where margins are already slim."

The recession continued to suppress
replacement sales in both mature and emerging markets. The distribution
channel has dealt with lower demand and financial pressure by using up
13.9 million units of existing stock before ordering more. Gartner
expects the gap between sell-in to the channel and sell-through to
customers will reduce in the second half of 2009 as the channel starts
to restock.

Table 1
Worldwide Mobile Terminal Sales to End Users in 2Q09 (Thousands of Units)

Company

2Q09

Sales

2Q09 Market

Share (%)

2Q08

Sales

2Q08 Market

Share (%)

Nokia

105,413.3

36.8

120,353.3

39.5

Samsung

55,430.2

19.3

46,376.0

15.2

LG

30,497.0

10.7

26,698.9

8.8

Motorola

15,947.8

5.6

30,371.8

10.0

Sony Ericsson

13,574.2

4.7

22,951.7

7.5

Others

65,260.2

23.0

57,970.6

19.0

Total

286,122.7

100

304,722.3

100

Note: This table includes iDEN shipments but excludes ODM-to-OEM shipments.
Source: Gartner (August 2009)

Nokia maintained its leadership
position, but its portfolio remained heavily skewed toward low-end
devices. Its flagship high-end N97 smartphone met little enthusiasm at
its launch in the second quarter of 2009 and has sold just 500,000
units in the channel since it started to ship in June, compared to
Apple's iPhone 3G S, which sold 1 million units in its first weekend.
"The right high-end product and an increased focus on services and
content are vital for Nokia if it wants to both revamp its brand and
please investors with a more promising outlook in ASPs and margins,"
said Ms Milanesi.

Samsung and LG both had a very
strong second quarter of 2009 with sales of 55 million units and 30.5
million units, respectively. Samsung's touchscreen devices, qwerty
phones and smartphones drove sales in mature markets, and Gartner
expects it will continue to gain market share in the second half of
2009 to close the gap with Nokia. Gartner expects LG to keep moving
into lower-tier devices to drive growth in emerging markets and be
well-positioned to take advantage of China's 3G rollout as it can
deliver good-value-for-money devices. Motorola's sales of 15.9 million
units were slightly better than expected, but its presence has rapidly
concentrated on the Americas, and it has lost most of its share of the
Western European market, where it sold fewer than 1 million units in
the second quarter of 2009. Most operators and customers will be
waiting for Motorola's new Android-based products planned for the
fourth quarter of 2009.

Sony Ericsson's market share dropped 2.8
percentage points year-on-year in the second quarter of 2009 but its
volume dropped 41 per cent. Although the market environment was
challenging, Gartner attributes Sony Ericsson's poor performance to its
uncompetitive range of handsets. "Sony Ericsson has neglected to
exploit key trends such as qwerty products for messaging and e-mail,
internet browsing and navigation. If it wants to build the presence of
its three new products announced this quarter in the channel and
capture Christmas sales, the products need to come to market early in
the fourth quarter of 2009," Ms Milanesi added.

Table 2
Worldwide Smartphone Sales to End Users in 2Q09 (Thousands of Units)

Company

2Q09

 Sales

2Q09 Market

 Share (%)

2Q08

 Sales

2Q08 Market

 Share (%)

Nokia

18,441.0

45.0

15,297.9

47.4

Research In Motion

7,678.9

18.7

5,594.2

17.3

Apple

5,434.7

13.3

892.5

2.8

HTC

2,471.0

6.0

1,330.8

4.1

Fujitsu

1,249.0

3.0

1,071.5

3.3

Others

5,688.2

13.9

8,085.8

25.1

Total

40,962.8

100.0

32,272.7

100.0

Note: For HTC, Gartner counts only the company's own-branded devices, including the G1.
Note: Totals may not add to 100.0 percent due to rounding.
Source: Gartner (August 2009)

"Smartphone sales were strong during
the second quarter of 2009, with sales of 40.9 million units in line
with Gartner's forecast of 27 per cent year-on-year sales growth for
2009," said Ms Milanesi. "Given the higher margins, smartphones offer
the biggest opportunity for manufacturers. It is the fastest-growing
market segment and the most resistant to declining ASPs."

Apple's expansion into a larger
number of countries in the past year has produced a clear effect on
sales volumes, as have the recent price adjustments on the 8GB 3G
iPhone. Sales of 5.4 million units in the second quarter of 2009
indicated a 509 per cent growth in shipments and helped Apple maintain
the No. 3 position in the smartphone market, where it has stayed since
the third quarter of 2008. Apple brought its much-anticipated new
device -- the iPhone 3G S -- to market at the end of the second quarter
of 2009, but its full potential will only start to show in the sales
figures in the second half of 2009.

At the high end of the smartphone
market, HTC remained in the No. 4 position behind Apple, where it has
been since the third quarter of 2008. It reported lower expectations
for the second half of 2009 due to product delays and now expects 2009
revenue to decline by low- to mid-single digits year-on-year, far below
its previous outlook of 10 per cent annual growth.

In the smartphone operating system
(OS) market, Symbian held 51 per cent share, down from 57 per cent a
year ago, while RIM and Apple grew their shares year-on-year. Android's
share was just under 2 per cent of the market and more Android-based
devices will come to market in the fourth quarter of 2009, intensifying
competition in the smartphone OS market, particularly for Symbian and
Windows Mobile. Microsoft's share continued to drop year-on-year to
account for 9 per cent of the market in the second quarter of 2009.

"Microsoft licensees HTC and Samsung
continued to add features to their own interfaces, on top of Windows
Mobile, to create more competitive products and make up for the
usability constraints of the Microsoft platform," said Roberta Cozza,
principal analyst at Gartner.

This quarter also saw the debut of
the long-awaited Palm Pre based on the new web operating system. "This
device attracted a lot of media attention but showed mixed results at
the cash register as sales only reached 205,000 units," said Ms Cozza.
"Palm currently ranks tenth in the smartphone market and Gartner
remains concerned about its ability to gain traction outside the US
market, where its brand is less strong."

"For the remainder of 2009,
manufacturers must offer products with the features that consumers and
operators are demanding most strongly -- like touchscreens, focus on
user interfaces and application/content ecosystems -- and work hard to
keep operators loyal," concluded Ms Milanesi. "We expect competition to
intensify in the second half of 2009. Mobile operators are likely to
drive competition among manufacturers as they start selling e-book
readers and mini-notebooks from other manufacturers to foster mobile
broadband subscriptions.
Operators are also starting to
subsidise e-book readers and mini notebooks on contract and this means
that there will be less subsidy available to drive sales of mobile
phones and smartphones. In turn, operators will demand lower prices
from phone manufacturers, which will be under even more pressure to
deliver strong feature sets at the lowest possible price."

Additional information is in the
Gartner report "Competitive Landscape: Mobile Devices, Worldwide,
2Q09." The report is available on Gartner's website at http://www.gartner.com/DisplayDocument?ref=g_search&id=1124912&subref=simplesearch.